Nobel Lecture: The Transformation of Macroeconomic Policy and Research

نویسنده

  • Edward C. Prescott
چکیده

What I am going to describe for you is a revolution in macroeconomics, a transformation in methodology that has reshaped how we conduct our science. Prior to the transformation, macroeconomics was largely separate from the rest of economics. Indeed, some considered the study of macroeconomics fundamentally different and thought there was no hope of integrating macroeconomics with the rest of economics, that is, with neoclassical economics. Others held the view that neoclassical foundations for the empirically determined macro relations would in time be developed. Neither view proved correct. Finn Kydland and I have been lucky to be a part of this revolution, and my address will focus heavily on our role in advancing this transformation. Now, all stories about transformation have three essential parts: the time prior to the key change, the transformative era, and the new period that has been affected by the change. And that is the story I am going to tell: how macroeconomic policy and research changed as a result of the transformation of macroeconomics from constructing a system of equations of the national accounts to an investigation of dynamic stochastic model economies.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Olefin-Metathesis Catalysts for the Preparation of Molecules and Materials (Nobel Lecture 2005)Copyright The Nobel Foundation 2005. We thank the Nobel Foundation, Stockholm, for permission to print this lecture

This is a story of our exploration of the olefin-metathesis reaction, a reaction that has been the major emphasis of my independent research. As with all stories of scientific discovery, there are three components: the discoveries, the resulting applications, and, perhaps the most important of all, the people involved. Starting from observations made from seemingly unrelated work, our investiga...

متن کامل

The Emperor Has No Clothes

Like many in academia, Kocherlakota associates modern macroeconomics with a particular school of thought that takes something called the “Lucas critique” as its guiding principle. The Lucas critique refers to an argument put forth by the Nobel Prize-winning macroeconomist Robert Lucas about how the changing expectations of economic agents will confound forecasting and policy analysis based on m...

متن کامل

Macroprudential Policy Arrangement for Achieving Financial Stability in an Oil-exporting Economy: A DSGE approach

Following the 2008 financial crisis, the application of macro-prudential policies has expanded to ensure financial stability. In addition, in most oil-exporting economies, oil revenues are an important source of fluctuations in macroeconomic variables and, therefore, calls for the use of macroeconomic stabilization policies. Considering the vulnerability of financial stability in the Iranian ec...

متن کامل

Structural Macroeconomic Capacity to a Reaction in Economic Policy Shocks : The Case of Iran

          The aim of this paper is to simulate the effects of some macroeconomic policy tools on production and inflation of Iran by the current worldwide financial and real crisis. The theoretical framework of the analysis is based on the so-called ‘IMF/World Bank Integrated Model’ which is the synthesis (a merger) of the basic monetary approach of the Balance of Payments used at t...

متن کامل

Birth and future of multiscale modeling for macromolecular systems (Nobel Lecture).

Winning the Nobel Prize is a unique and marvelous experience that no one can prepare for or in any way know what to expect. The instantaneous transformation from an ordinary human, toiling away to solve the problems that come before us, into being a symbol, a celebrity, is a remarkable phenomenon. On the one hand, a mature person is likely to be pretty happy with the way they have been living u...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2006